Thursday, May 22, 2008

Heading out to the Moderate Risk Area

Looks like we are going to be in the North Western part of KS for initiation today and then we will chase them east into central KS.


(Crazy tornado risk today!)

GIVEN VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES AND RICH LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE...SETUP WILL THEREFORE BECOME QUITE
VOLATILE OVER MUCH OF THE REGION WITH POTENTIAL FOR
VERY LARGE HAIL AND A FEW SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES INTO
THE MID EVENING.
THERE SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENT SBCAPE-- E.G. 2000-2500 J/KG OVER MUCH OF WRN
KS AND PERHAPS A SMALL PART OF SWRN NEB -- TO SUPPORT
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL DISCRETE/CYCLIC/TORNADIC SUPERCELLS
DURING AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.
SUPERCELLS/TORNADO POTENTIAL MAY PERSIST WELL INTO
NIGHTTIME HOURS.

No comments: